Atlas Predicts SC and NV 2016: 'We know exactly what we're doing' (user search)
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  Atlas Predicts SC and NV 2016: 'We know exactly what we're doing' (search mode)
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Author Topic: Atlas Predicts SC and NV 2016: 'We know exactly what we're doing'  (Read 8954 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: February 19, 2016, 01:23:00 PM »

27% Trump
25% Cruz
18% Rubio
12% Bush
10% Kasich
  7% Carson
  1% Others

51.3% Sanders
48.5% Clinton
  0.2% Others/Uncomitted
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2016, 01:41:56 PM »


Hmm ... there must be something wrong. It says I'm leading the predictions game after IA and NH and I'm pretty sure my IA and NH predictions on the GOP side were pretty far off. (But who knows, maybe the predictions of everyone else were off too).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2016, 02:17:22 PM »

In addition to my predictions, I think Sanders could also win as high as 54-46 tomorrow because the bad economy and foreclosure crisis between 2008-2014 or so is still in the minds of NV voters and they could respond well to Sanders' anti-Wall Street message.

On the GOP side, Cruz should do better than the polls predict and Trump worse (much like in IA) and because of the Evangelicals who are a reliable force for Cruz. Also, Trump could be hurt by his 9/11 and Iraq comments - which is why Bush should do slightly better than what the polls predict.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2016, 02:25:46 PM »

On the GOP side, Cruz should do better than the polls predict and Trump worse (much like in IA) and because of the Evangelicals who are a reliable force for Cruz.

Trump is polling ahead with evangelicals in South Carolina as he did in New Hampshire.

Polling and election day voting are 2 different pair of shoes though ... We'll see.
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