NV-TargetPoint Consulting/Washington Free Beacon: Sanders & Clinton tied at 45% (user search)
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  NV-TargetPoint Consulting/Washington Free Beacon: Sanders & Clinton tied at 45% (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-TargetPoint Consulting/Washington Free Beacon: Sanders & Clinton tied at 45%  (Read 8089 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: February 12, 2016, 10:23:55 AM »



Oh no ! Bernie has no appeal among Blaxicasians !
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2016, 10:32:37 AM »

Has anyone else noticed that Bernie seems to get most of the undecideds so far ?

In IA, the polling average was about Hillary+3 and it ended as a tie - suggesting that Bernie got most undecideds.

And in NH, the polling average was also slightly pro-Hillary, with Sanders outperforming the polls.

If there's a polling tie in NV, this is good news for Bernie.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2016, 10:46:20 AM »

Skeptical of this poll for a few reasons having nothing to do with the top line numbers:

  • Washington Free Bacon is a rightwing advocacy group like Breitbart or Newsmax and has an interest in promoting Sanders; this comes through in the article
  • "But undecided caucusgoers and those who might change their mind say recent scandals involving Clinton make them significantly less likely to support her." So the poll primed voters with questions about "Hillary's recent scandals"

No, if you actually read the toplines of the poll and what I have posted above re: undecided voters you would realize that this is not the case:

A) The horserace questions in the poll were asked before any mention of "Hillary scandals"
B) Even in IA and NH it looks like undecided voters broke strongly for Bernie
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: February 15, 2016, 07:24:49 AM »

Let's hope real pollsters stop being such pussies and start polling NV in the next days ...
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