Morning Consult polls for IA/NH/SC (user search)
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  Morning Consult polls for IA/NH/SC (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult polls for IA/NH/SC  (Read 1249 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: June 14, 2015, 12:04:09 PM »

IA:

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http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/150502_crosstabs_mc_IA_v1_AD.pdf

NH:

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http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/150502_crosstabs_mc_NH_v1_AD.pdf

SC:

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http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/150502_crosstabs_mc_SC_v1_AD.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2015, 12:05:50 PM »

The Iowa poll surveyed 905 registered voters, including 294 who said they planned to participate in the Republican caucuses. The New Hampshire poll surveyed 816 registered voters, including 349 who said they would vote in a Republican primary. And the South Carolina poll tested 906 registered voters, including 389 who said they planned to vote in the GOP primary. All three surveys were conducted online and by phone between May 31 and June 8.

The margin of error among all registered voters in each state is 3 percent. The margin of error for the Republican sample in Iowa is 6 percent, and the margin of error for the Republican samples in New Hampshire and South Carolina is 5 percent.

http://morningconsult.com/2015/06/new-polls-show-divided-gop-field-in-early-states
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2015, 12:06:36 PM »

Bernie Sanders at 30%+ in NH:

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http://morningconsult.com/2015/06/clinton-leads-in-early-states-but-sanders-popular-in-new-hampshire
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2015, 12:10:25 PM »

The sample for the NH Dem. primary is only 279, but it would be great if another poll could confirm the Sanders surge there ... Smiley
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #4 on: June 15, 2015, 12:11:58 AM »

New Hampshire

Dems

Clinton 44%
Sanders 32%
Biden 8%
O'Malley 2%
Webb 1%
Chafee 0%

There's of course the chance that - because this MC outfit is relatively new - they are releasing 5 normal results and 1 SHOCKING result to grab attention for their newspaper.

On the other hand, the last NH poll for the Dems is 1 month old and Sanders might have gained heavily in the last weeks ...
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