Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
Posts: 58,201
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
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« on: September 28, 2014, 02:12:15 AM » |
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6% vote for others and 12% are still undecided at this stage.
Considering 3rd party candidates won't get more than 2% on election day, ca. 16% are still undecided.
That's really a lot for End-September.
Braley has a 42-42 favorable rating, Ernst is at 45-44.
While Braley is a terribly flawed candidate, I still don't really think this is over - also because the absentee ballot numbers requested so far are pretty good for Democrats. The ground game is showing a different story than the polls right now.
Also, we should not forget that while Selzer is a great pollster, they had Branstad winning by almost 20 points in late September 2010, when he actually won by just 10 points on election day.
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