Hickman Analytics (D) for Consumer Energy Alliance: 5 Senate polls (user search)
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  Hickman Analytics (D) for Consumer Energy Alliance: 5 Senate polls (search mode)
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Author Topic: Hickman Analytics (D) for Consumer Energy Alliance: 5 Senate polls  (Read 1079 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: May 07, 2014, 07:44:14 AM »

Note: Consumer Energy Alliance is an organisation that favours building the Keystone XL pipeline.

...

Iowa:

43% Bruce Braley    
42% Mark Jacobs

44% Bruce Braley    
40% Joni Ernst

Kentucky:

46% Mitch McConnell    
45% Alison Lundergan Grimes

Michigan:

42% Gary Peters
37% Terri Lynn Land

Montana:

49% Steve Daines
37% John Walsh

New Hampshire:

49% Jeanne Shaheen
43% Scott Brown

...

Hickman Analytics conducted the four polls for Consumer Energy Alliance. In Iowa, 500 likely 2014 general election voters were surveyed via landline or cell phone between April 24th and 30th. In Michigan, 502 likely 2014 general election voters were surveyed via landline or cell phone between April 24th and 30th.  In Montana, 400 likely 2014 general election voters were surveyed via landline or cell phone between April 24th and 30th.  In New Hampshire, 400 likely 2014 general election voters were surveyed via landline or cell phone between April 24th and 30th.  Montana and New Hampshire polling carries a 4.9% margin of error.  Iowa and Michigan polling carries a 4.4% margin of error.

http://buildkxlnow.org/keystone-pipeline-poll-delays-hurt-senate-democrats
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2014, 07:51:11 AM »

They also screened for "definite voters", which make up some 80% of the 400-500 likely voters in each state:

Iowa:

44% Bruce Braley    
44% Mark Jacobs

46% Bruce Braley    
41% Joni Ernst

Kentucky:

46% Mitch McConnell    
46% Alison Lundergan Grimes

Michigan:

43% Gary Peters
38% Terri Lynn Land

Montana:

48% Steve Daines
40% John Walsh

New Hampshire:

48% Jeanne Shaheen
44% Scott Brown
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2014, 08:05:25 AM »

These numbers make some sense, I think.

IA is getting really close, especially if Jacobs wins the primary.

Jacobs is largely unknown, but those who know him rate him favorably (25-14).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2014, 08:14:32 AM »

Other interesting stuff from the crosstabs:

* 1/3 KY voters have not heard of Alison L-G so far, only 2% have not heard about McConnell.

* In MT, 14% of Dems are undecided, while only 5% of Republicans are undecided. Daines is far ahead with Indies though.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #4 on: May 07, 2014, 08:17:45 AM »

Obama's favorable ratings in each state:

IA: 47-49

KY: 39-56

MI: 47-47

MT: 38-57

NH: 45-53
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