IA-PPP: Clinton dominating, if Clinton/Biden don't run Warren would be leading (user search)
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  IA-PPP: Clinton dominating, if Clinton/Biden don't run Warren would be leading (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-PPP: Clinton dominating, if Clinton/Biden don't run Warren would be leading  (Read 610 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: February 27, 2014, 11:25:12 AM »

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton continues to be completely dominant. 67% want her to be the nominee, compared to 12% for Joe Biden, 5% for Elizabeth Warren, 3% for Mark Warner, 2% for Andrew Cuomo, and 1% for Cory Booker. Clinton's dominance is near total- she has an 82/9 favorability rating and polls over 60% with liberals, moderates, men, women, young voters, and older voters alike.

In the instance that Clinton didn't run, Biden would lead the field with 40% to 13% for Warren, 8% for Cuomo, 5% for Martin O'Malley, 2% each for Booker, Warner, and Kirsten Gillibrand, and 1% for Brian Schweitzer.

If Clinton and Biden both didn't run it's pretty much completely up in the air- 47% would be undecided with Warren at 21%, Cuomo at 11%, Booker at 8%, O'Malley at 6%, Gillibrand at 3, and Schweitzer and Warner at 2%.

Clinton leads hypothetical general election match ups in the state by similar margins to Barack Obama's victory there in 2012. She's up 4 on Jeb Bush and Mike Huckabee at 45/41 and 46/42 respectively, 5 on Rand Paul at 47/42, and 6 on Chris Christie at 45/39. Her average lead of 5 points against the trio of Bush, Paul, and Christie is down from an average lead of 11 points against them on our July poll. That's a similar decline to what we saw for Bruce Braley in the Senate race as the political climate has worsened for Democrats in the last half of a year.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/02/clinton-huckabee-hold-early-leads-in-iowa.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2014, 11:41:56 AM »

Clinton mostly lost the primaries because Obama was a Black, you see.

With the "I want something new ! Black factor" now out, only the following people could stop Clinton from winning the Dem. nomination this time:

* a Latino
* a woman (Hillary's already one, so no)
* a homosexual
* an Asian
* an atheist
* a muslim

Because currently there are none of the last 4 in the race, only white men, the most likely candidate to beat her would be a Obama-style Latino with a great campaign team and fundraising skills. But there is none ...
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