Rocky Mountain Poll (Behavior Research Center): Obama up 2 in Arizona (user search)
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  Rocky Mountain Poll (Behavior Research Center): Obama up 2 in Arizona (search mode)
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Author Topic: Rocky Mountain Poll (Behavior Research Center): Obama up 2 in Arizona  (Read 11604 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: October 13, 2012, 01:08:08 PM »
IIRC, Rocky Mountain AZ polls are crap.

Need to look up their track record later ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2012, 01:26:07 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 13, 2012, 01:08:08 PM
IIRC, Rocky Mountain AZ polls are crap.

Need to look up their track record later ...

Rocky Mountain AZ is actually the good pollster. AZ State University is the bad pollster.

So, Rocky Mountain didnt poll the AZ Presidential race in 2008.

But they polled in 2010 and had Brewer by 11 (she won by 12).

In 2004, they had Bush by 10 (Bush won by 10).

In 2004, they had Bush by 3 (Bush won by 6).

So, not too bad historically.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2012, 01:29:28 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 13, 2012, 01:26:07 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 13, 2012, 01:08:08 PM
IIRC, Rocky Mountain AZ polls are crap.

Need to look up their track record later ...

Rocky Mountain AZ is actually the good pollster. AZ State University is the bad pollster.

So, Rocky Mountain didnt poll the AZ Presidential race in 2008.

But they polled in 2010 and had Brewer by 11 (she won by 12).

In 2004, they had Bush by 10 (Bush won by 10).

In 2004, they had Bush by 3 (Bush won by 6).

So, not too bad historically.

Correction: They polled AZ in May 2008 for the last time and had McCain ahead by 11 (he won by 8 or 9 or so).
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2012, 01:41:56 PM »
Updated OP with link and results.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2012, 07:56:36 AM »
Fail !

Even though it was good in the past ...
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