NH-Magellan Strategies: Obama the heavy favorite in the NH DEM Primary (user search)
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  NH-Magellan Strategies: Obama the heavy favorite in the NH DEM Primary (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-Magellan Strategies: Obama the heavy favorite in the NH DEM Primary  (Read 2904 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: December 17, 2010, 03:02:51 AM »

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

77% Approve
14% Disapprove

If the 2012 Democrat Presidential primary election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton?

59% Obama
28% Clinton

If the 2012 Democrat Presidential primary election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Barack Obama and Howard Dean?

78% Obama
10% Dean

If the 2012 Democrat Presidential primary election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Barack Obama and Bernie Sanders?

79% Obama
  8% Sanders

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 1,002N autodial survey of likely Democrat primary voters, and independent voters that are likely to vote in the Democrat Presidential primary in the state of New Hampshire. The interviews were conducted December 14th and 15th, 2010. This survey has a margin of error of +/‐ 3.09% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon Democrat Presidential Primary turnout demographics from the 2008 and 2004 election cycles.

http://www.unionleader.com/uploads/media-items/2010/December/NH%202012%20Democrat%20Presidential%20Primary%20Survey%20Topline%20Results%20121410%5B16%5D.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: December 17, 2010, 03:06:51 AM »

OMGZ !

Obama is in so much trouble within the party ... !
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: December 17, 2010, 03:11:33 AM »

OMGZ !

Obama is in so much trouble within the party ... !

Well, to be fair, this is just one state and it's being polled by an unreliable Republican firm.  Tongue

Yeah, very unreliable:

Quote
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Final results:

38% Kelly Ayotte
37% Lamontagne
14% Binnie
  9% Bender
  2% Others

Wink
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: December 17, 2010, 03:17:31 AM »

OMGZ !

Obama is in so much trouble within the party ... !

Well, to be fair, this is just one state and it's being polled by an unreliable Republican firm.  Tongue

Yeah, very unreliable:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Final results:

38% Kelly Ayotte
37% Lamontagne
14% Binnie
  9% Bender
  2% Others

Wink

They're considered unreliable in General election polls so I'm thinking, as a Republican firm, they probably aren't that great for Democratic primaries.

They are not more unreliable than Rasmussen. They got the LA & DE race right, like Rasmussen. But they blew CO Governor, just like Rasmussen.

The only bad thing is that they did not poll enough General Election races to make a fair analysis.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #4 on: December 23, 2010, 02:03:08 PM »

Am I stupid or is 28% a lot for Clinton in the polls?

IŽd say the first part of your sentence is closer to reality, as Clinton actually won NH in 2008.
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