An given the latest PA polls of likely voters showing 46% approving of Obama, I guess the poll will show something like 37-39% approve and 56-58% disapprove in the district.
Well, the actual numbers are
33% Approve
57% Disapprove
http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/04/pa-12-poll-preview.htmlSupport and opposition are not as "hard" as they are in all of PA (46% approve, 50% disapprove), but if we allocate the undecided it´s something like 37-63 for PA-12 and 48-52 for PA as a whole.
That makes the district now 10-12% less DEM than PA, a trend seen since 2000 at least.