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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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« on: November 03, 2009, 08:06:40 PM »

From Jim Geraghty at National Review:

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That's not a good sign for the Corzine camp, am I right?

Well, he can win by a small amount, even with a 25% deficit among Indies, but Dems have to make up 45% of the electorate, Republicans 28% and Indies 27%. He also needs to get 85-90% of the Democratic vote (which is possible), because Daggett only got 9% of Independents. I doubt that more than 7-8% of Democrats voted for Christie.
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