Class Biden's Reforms from the most likely to the less likely.
Most Likely
1.Infrastructure
2. Healthcare and drug pricing reform
3. A bill focused on china
4. A minimum wage increase even if it is not 15 an hour
5. He make a few of the reforms in the Covid Bill permanent like the Child tax credit and the New subsidies for Obamacare
Less Likely
1.New Gun laws
3.The For the People Act unless they kill the filibuster
2.Immigration reform because there is Zero chance they GOP will vote for any Immigration bill from Biden since they clearly want use the issue to run on and fundraise off of in the future.
Would be a huge embarrassment if Dems let HR1 die solely because of the filibuster. Manchin and Sinema are more likely to backtrack on their theatrical promises to never touch the filibuster rather than let such a signature piece of legislation die. Yes, they pull the whole "muh senate rules" but I doubt each of them are brave or stupid enough to pull it over HR1.
Manchin could kill it, but if Sinema does, her career is over. There's no way she'd make it through the Democratic primary. I'd half expect Biden, Harris, Schumer, and Pelosi to personally campaign against her. To kill HR1 is to kill the Democratic Party.
