Actress Cynthia Nixon of Sex and the City to run for NY Governor (user search)
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  Actress Cynthia Nixon of Sex and the City to run for NY Governor (search mode)
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Author Topic: Actress Cynthia Nixon of Sex and the City to run for NY Governor  (Read 77028 times)
pops
katman46
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« on: September 10, 2018, 02:57:25 PM »

Calling it, 57-43 Cuomo primary win
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pops
katman46
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« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2018, 03:02:09 PM »


I think it will be closer to sixty or slightly over. I have a very hard time seeing Nixon break 40

I don't. I can't Imagine any Sanders voters going to Cuomo, and this is a really good year for Sanders Democrats. 57% might be generous, but I'm sticking with it.
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pops
katman46
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Posts: 770


Political Matrix
E: -7.00, S: 4.00

P P P
« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2018, 03:08:22 PM »

Perhaps he didn't think like many others that replacing a two term governor with a actress who has no clear plan or any understanding of how government works is a good idea.
Or, more likely, he knows shes not going to win, so why give an endorsement to a losing candidate.

I think it will be closer to sixty or slightly over. I have a very hard time seeing Nixon break 40

I don't. I can't Imagine any Sanders voters going to Cuomo, and this is a really good year for Sanders Democrats. 57% might be generous, but I'm sticking with it.

Not in statewide elections.  The final poll has Cuomo at 63 percent. I can't see the margin being that different. Polling has been largely on the dot for statewide elections thus far.

Elections are different than primaries, and in that case, the opposite is true, they have been rather off, but they still call the correct winner.
give an example where they were off

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Florida_(August_23_2018)_v3.pdf
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pops
katman46
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 770


Political Matrix
E: -7.00, S: 4.00

P P P
« Reply #3 on: September 10, 2018, 03:13:43 PM »

Perhaps he didn't think like many others that replacing a two term governor with a actress who has no clear plan or any understanding of how government works is a good idea.
Or, more likely, he knows shes not going to win, so why give an endorsement to a losing candidate.

I think it will be closer to sixty or slightly over. I have a very hard time seeing Nixon break 40

I don't. I can't Imagine any Sanders voters going to Cuomo, and this is a really good year for Sanders Democrats. 57% might be generous, but I'm sticking with it.

Not in statewide elections.  The final poll has Cuomo at 63 percent. I can't see the margin being that different. Polling has been largely on the dot for statewide elections thus far.

Elections are different than primaries, and in that case, the opposite is true, they have been rather off, but they still call the correct winner.
give an example where they were off
MN-GOP, MN-DEM, FL-DEM,MA-GOP,CA, CT-GOP, just to name some off the top of my head where the margins was off by a longshot or the underdog won.

I love how I thought of Florida before my own races lol
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pops
katman46
Jr. Member
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Posts: 770


Political Matrix
E: -7.00, S: 4.00

P P P
« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2018, 01:54:33 PM »

NY State of Politics:

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If Nixon loses the primary, withdraws by running for an Assembly seat with the intention of losing on purpose, and then the Working Families Party try to nominate Cuomo for governor after everything that has occurred, the WFP are spineless spineless cowards. You can't even use the "not split the vote" excuse, no one thinks Molinaro can win.


Social media is not a good indicator of support and there was very little polling in both those congressional districts. And by remaining on the ballot it risks allowing the republican to win so no it’s not spineless. It’s doing the right thing. A polling miss of 41 points would be polling screwup the likes of which has never happened in history 

don't make me put michigan polls in here again
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