opebo
Atlas Legend
Posts: 47,009
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« on: February 01, 2004, 08:08:40 AM » |
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Even though I agree it will be very close nationally, I think OH is actually slightly *more* likely to go Bush in 2004 than it was in 2000. The same is true of WV. MO is definitely more solid Bush this time. I think the sort of 'cultural divide' will be stronger this time, which benefits Bush in OH, MO, WV. In fact this polarizing cultural divide strengthens him in virtually all the states he won in 2000, while weakening him in the Gore states.
We could actually see a very close Bush electoral college victory with as low or lower percentage of the popular vote.
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