MO Senate: Talent, McCaskill tied in new Rasmussen Poll (user search)
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  MO Senate: Talent, McCaskill tied in new Rasmussen Poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO Senate: Talent, McCaskill tied in new Rasmussen Poll  (Read 4956 times)
opebo
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« on: September 08, 2005, 12:50:34 AM »


She doesn't necessarily need to be Casey-like.  One major factor to consider is that Talent is a first-term Senator, and opinions about him are less likely to be cemented as with Santorum.  In addition, Missouri has less risk in replacing Talent because he is a freshman and doesn't have much power in Washington.

It would, however, take a very popular candidate, which McCaskill may theoretically be.

That's still no reason to get rid of Talent who, as I keep saying, remains popular.

McCaskill is not popular enough to take down Talent.

His Approval is hovering around the 50% mark, not bad, but not exactly all that good either

Talent is not popular.  I don't know where you're getting that, Keystone Phil.  He was narrowly elected and remains at about 50%, as Smash points out.  There is an enormous amount of hostility to Bush building in this state, as well as to Blount.  This doesn't mean MO is turning Democratic, just that the mood here is anti-incumbent, and most people are blaming Bush, Blount, and the GOP for the miserable economic conditions they see around them.

McGaskill has a fairly good chance though I'm sure the posters above who predict her being massively outspent are correct.
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opebo
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« Reply #1 on: September 08, 2005, 10:23:51 PM »
« Edited: September 08, 2005, 10:25:35 PM by opebo »

There is a great amount of hostility towards Bush in Missouri? Really? And how would you know this?

Because I see lots of anti-Bush bumper stickers cropping up - upon the pickup trucks of the proles, not just the Volvos of the intelligencia (or what passes for one in Missouri).  I have even seen homemade anti-bush signs on the vehicles of the lumpenproles, which shows an even higher level of anger, as the signs are very crudely made and embarrassing.   Most importantly,  I have seen all of this in towns that have 'Jebus' signs in every other yard.  I realize this is anecdotal, but I think it is meaningful.

I've even had lower class simples burst out in anti-Bush diatribes at the next pump at the gas station (twice now), and once I saw the same thing in the payment line.  I don't think you can overestimate the gas price effect upon these ignorant working class types, Keystone Phil.  Many of these people voted for Bush previously because they were duped by patriotism or hatred of various minority groups.  Now they feel betrayed and misled - basically what is happening to Bush is what happened to Carter.
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opebo
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« Reply #2 on: September 08, 2005, 11:26:57 PM »

I asked because I thought you were in Thailand.

Oh, no.  Just a couple of weeks to go!
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opebo
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« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2005, 05:14:54 PM »

Could you crawl out of you’re a*s some time soon and be a little bit less condescending! 

No, why give up one of life's little pleasures?

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