Presidential election maps relative to the national margin (user search)
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  Presidential election maps relative to the national margin (search mode)
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Author Topic: Presidential election maps relative to the national margin  (Read 7008 times)
opebo
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« on: June 06, 2005, 05:43:36 PM »

I would say the biggest battleground states for 08 are those in light blue & pink. with some changes possible to do depending on which states the candidates are from

Interestingly, if we assume the above, and I do, the Democrats are actually slightly ahead in the electoral game:
Democrat - 242
Republican - 213
Tossups   -  83
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opebo
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« Reply #1 on: June 06, 2005, 10:53:26 PM »

Um, all of those states really lean GOP except Wisconsin right now. This is just relative to national margin, which is irrelevant in winning elections. It just shows where most of your support is.

You may be right about their current leanings - as for where they're headed:

NV, CO, OH moving Dem - 34 electoral votes
IA, FL(??) moving GOP - 34 electoral votes
NM, WS, neither -          15 electoral votes
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opebo
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Posts: 47,009


« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2005, 07:41:41 PM »

I don't see them moving Dem. What are you basing that on?

You don't see Nevada, Colorado, and Ohio moving Democrat?
Democrat percentages:
Colorado                                         Ohio                  Nevada
2004 - 47.02%                               48.71%               47.88%
2000 - 42.39% (5.25% Nadar)       46.46%               45.98%
1996 - 44.43%                                47.38%              43.93%
1992 - 40.13%                               40.18%               37.36%
1988 - 45.28%                                44.15%               37.92%
1984 - 35.12%                                40.14%              31.97%
1980 - 31.07%                                40.91%              26.89%
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