Romney's path without Ohio, Hint: There is none

[opebo]

His final strategy - a cruder, more blatant racism than he as run on heretofore (don't get me wrong, the campaign has been racist from the beginning, but I mean really laying it on thick now) - will turn around Ohio, and by the same fashion he'll win Florida and Virginia.  However both New Hampshire and Nevada are hopeless for him I think, so it all will come down to Colorado and Iowa:

A narrow Obama win if it can get both of them:

And a narrow Romney win if he can take either away from Obama.

[opebo]

The reason Romney has fallen so far behind in Ohio (lack of populist appeal) prevents him from winning Iowa, too.  That puts him just short of 270.  He either changes direction and wins both or stays the same and wins neither.

Maybe.  But Ohio can be won on racism without populist appeal - Iowa, who knows?  They don't have many blacks there to work up the hatred.

[opebo]

I'd still bet on Obama's margin being better than Ohio in IA, NV, CO, NH but that shouldnt exactly comfort Romney. Romney only wins WI if hes over +3 nationally IMO.

I agree with that except for Colorado.

[opebo]

The real question is whether, or not, Barack Obama has a reasonable path to victory without taking Ohio. Florida seems to be slipping away. If he loses in Virginia, he has to sweep NV, CO, IA, NH and WI, which doesn't seem to be too realistic. Virginia, too, seems to be slipping away. CO and NH could easily replace VA for Romney, leaving IA or NV as his path to victory.

Yeah, they're mirror images of one another - they both need Ohio.