How possible is this electoral map? (user search)
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  How possible is this electoral map? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: How possible is this electoral map next year?
#1
Very possible
 
#2
Somewhat possible
 
#3
Unlikely but possible
 
#4
Not possible at all
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 42

Author Topic: How possible is this electoral map?  (Read 3141 times)
opebo
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Posts: 47,009


« on: August 09, 2011, 05:19:28 AM »

Not only very possible, it is the most likely map, other than the same map with Nevada flipped, which is probably equally likely.
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opebo
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 47,009


« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2011, 10:24:36 AM »

If the election is close this is a very reasonable map. 
But as Obama's failures and incompetence become clearer to all, I am now expecting a easy win for the GOP candidate

It is quite possible that the electorate will come to understand that the GOP caused the depression.
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opebo
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 47,009


« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2011, 12:55:43 PM »

I think it is so funny that people still think the political map will still look like it was in the early  2000s. We are currently in the middle of a time where the map is changing. Where fast growing southern states are becoming more democratic and slow growing northern states are becoming more conservative.

I agree. If Obama loses, I could see him still winning Virginia, etc.

Ok, Devilman88 has a reasonable point, but to say it could lose while still winning the fast-growing less-Republican Southern States is just over the top:



Unless you didn't count Florida as a fast-growing less-Republican Southern state.. but even in that case it is a huge stress to imagine him winning VA and NC and losing.

Of course the reality is that all the change we keep talking about isn't really here yet.
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