AL-Trafalgar: Moore +5

[Sestak]

Now this feels like they're all herding.

[Sestak]

The (artist formerly known as the) gold standard hath spoken.

They underesimated Northam’s margin by like 8 points. If the same error occurs again, then that’s enough for a Jones win. Again, Jones is only a single polling error away from a victory.

And they also thought Trump was going to win NV and NH while losing WI.

Can't blame them. Two <1% margins missed? Eh.

Trafalgar has spoken. Moore has won.

Uh, as stated above, they missed VA badly.

[Sestak]

I made a handy flowchart for Atlas poll reactions. Should I add anything else?

Does the poll say what you want to hear and/or fit your preconceived notions?
Yes -> Great poll!
No v

Does the poll have questionable demographics?
Yes -> Junk poll!
No v

Does the poll have questionable crosstabs?
Yes -> Junk poll!
No v

Does the pollster have a questionable track record?
Yes -> Junk poll!
No -> Outlier! v

Is this poll in line with other polls?
Yes -> Herding!
No -> Outlier!