Similar to the Senate, I'm going to start doing weekly Governor ratings as well.
Rating changes I'd have made over the past few weeks:
Move NV to Likely D. The Polls show Sisolak outperforming Rosen, and all the specials we've seen have reinforced that Democratic enthusiasm is very strong across the country.
Move AZ to Lean R. AZ-08 results indicate that Ducey could be in some trouble.
Move WI to Tossup. Dallet's resounding win shows Walker is indeed quite vulnerable.
Move KS to Lean R. Colyer seems to be doing stronger than expected relative to Kobach, and would likely perform better in a general. Also Orman doesn't look like he's leaving.
Move MN to Lean D. Just a precaution here. I don't think Pawlenty will win but he does have a better shot than the previous field.
Move NY to Likely D. There is now a nonzero chance that Cuomo loses the primary to Nixon, runs on the Independent line out of spite, and ends up splitting the center-left and handing it to a Republican.