Thanks for all the detail, I'm following this keenly
Additionally, as only one single vote on a muerte cruzada is possible during a legislature, there is no constitutional option remaining for the parliament to oust the president who is remaining in a precarious political position.
Interesting, by this do you mean that the legislature can invoke it only after the next elections (2025) or from 2023 as stated earlier?
As far as I understand, Lasso can still invoke it himself if he sees the National Assembly assuming functions that don't belong to it or if he perceives a political crisis (so any time, surely?).
If Lasso's fiscal reform agenda is DOA now then Ecuador will have to restructure sometime in the next few years. Any hope for a primary surplus is gone now (for 2022 definitely, probably for 2023 and 2024 on), so without primary surpluses to pay interest they'll just be burning through national savings they don't have. And it could get even worse if oil prices tank. Impossible situation for everyone.
I don't see any way this gets better and Lasso gets enough support to pass any more reforms. Do you?
