Georgia Senate Run-off: Chambliss vs. Martin

[agcatter]

With Obama on the ballot Martin squeezed out every Democratic vote he possibly could have gotten - and still trailed by 3.

Should end up Chambliss with at least 54% and probably higher.  I don't expect Obama to campaign in Georgia - maybe will make a token trip to Atlanta but no barnstorming tour or anything.   He's not going to use his political capital on a race that Democrats can't win. 

[agcatter]

This is the Republican's filibuster firewall and they won't lose it.  That said. 60 votes is more symbolic than anything else.  Filibuster votes will have to be cobbled out issue by issue and won't be total party line votes- fairness doctrine no doubt would be but there is no guarantee on other issues that Republicans could keep 41 of their caucus together.  On most issues they no doubt could not -would have to rely on certain crossovers - Webb and Nelson (Neb) on guns for example.

[agcatter]

Guns was just a hypothetical example.  Fairness doctrine and card check are the biggest candidates for filibuster and it would be those two that would be most likely successfully filibustered for sure primarily because the Dems would lose some of their own on these two issues.