Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[QAnonKelly]

I hope the Republican run-off ends up being Cagle and Williams. Cagle has been the primary target of Williams, who is trying so hard to come across as a baby Trump. Cagle posted photos of Williams in Alabama regalia before the game Monday, and Williams posted a video calling him “Campaign Casey” lol. Cagle is the definition of a “swamp creature” though. He’s been in the Lt. Governor’s office for 12 years, and now he is running to do what exactly? He’ll win the nomination because the “elites” want him to but I hope he comes out of the primary bruised and rural whites stay home.  

Kemp—� just drop out. No one cares.

I listened to a podcast with one of the top guys on Jones’s team the other day (It was Ezra Klein’s)  and he said how their strategy hinged on whoever the Republican was having to go to a run off and him not. No matter who won, they’d be damaged goods and he wouldn’t. Both the Stacey’s would be wise to adopt this strategy

[QAnonKelly]

Man whoever the D is in 2020 is gonna have a field day running against Perdue.

[QAnonKelly]

Man whoever the D is in 2020 is gonna have a field day running against Perdue.

Carter, Reed, and Yates are all solid choices.

Teresa Tomlinson, mayor of Columbus is going to run. I wonder how much of an uphill battle she would have with donors and low name ID against Carter or Yates. Reed is less establishment and prone to controversy.

Man whoever the D is in 2020 is gonna have a field day running against Perdue.

Perdue strikes me as such a weak incumbent. He has a long history of saying and doing things that are just attack ad bait. Combined with the strong Democratic bench in the state, I'm hoping that I can help vote in a Democratic Georgia Senator come 2020.

I can't help but remember him saying something to the effect that Obama's days were numbered and his children would be vagabonds. He tried and failed to clean that up obviously. He's a real jerk and a Trump stooge.

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/06/david-perdue-obama/486587/

He went to some “values voter” conference and basically prayed for Obama to die. He’s reverse triangulating so bad with Trump. Cotton can tie himself to Trump and lie for him in the name of being racist. He’s from a Solid R , very white state. Perdue being so hardline anti immigration and so tied to Trump is just moronic. GA could very well be majority minority by the time he’s up again in a presidential year. The D could very well carry GA on the presidential level that year too. They can for sure energize the large swaths of poc in GA to vote against both Perdue and Trump (if he’s on the ticket). He can’t ride the 2014 wave coattails this time. They will attack him and attack him for being so racist and being so far up Trump’s butt and it could work. He’s playing with fire here and he could lose and I hope he does. He’s a horrible human being. I don’t agree with Isakson on a lot of stuff but he’s a good man and he came out hard against Trump with the sh**thole comments.

[QAnonKelly]

Perdue always been vulnerable he's no Isakson. Last time this seat was up during 2008 it went to a run off against a complete nobody. Georgia has change a lot in 12 years and if Democrats put up a credible challenger I go as far to say he will lose. After Gardner and Tillis he is 3rd most vulnerable Republican in 2020.

It probably comes down to who’s on the top of the ticket on 2020 for both parties. I think it’s too late for Trump/ Pence to win GA unless the D nominee is terrible. Another R  can probably hold it for one more cycle. Should the DNC or whoever play their cards right , they can probably take out Perdue given the environment and the amount of rising D stars in GA

[QAnonKelly]

Yeah, the gov’s race isn’t exactly shaking out the way I thought it would  either. I’m still nominally behind Evans but I’ve more or less decided if Abrams is ahead come May, I’ll just vote for her in the primary. I don’t want it to go to a run off. Someone also needs to jump into the AG Race on the D side bc that is a wide open race that is very winnable.

[QAnonKelly]

Yeah, the gov’s race isn’t exactly shaking out the way I thought it would  either. I’m still nominally behind Evans but I’ve more or less decided if Abrams is ahead come May, I’ll just vote for her in the primary. I don’t want it to go to a run off. Someone also needs to jump into the AG Race on the D side bc that is a wide open race that is very winnable.

Do you think the race between Abrams and Evans will be close enough that write-in votes will send it to a run-off?

I don’t think so but the GOP race is bound to go to a runoff at this point and all of them but Cagle are crazy so I say let them fight it out by themselves while whichever Stacey wins lays low and clean.
 

And yes I think we’re seeing people sit out this cycle waiting on the senate seat in 2020. They see that as a big opportunity. Perdue is super vulnerable and keeps writing his own attack ads. If Trump is on the ticket, it’ll be easy for the D presidential nominee to drag Tomilson/Carter/Whomever over the finish line.

[QAnonKelly]

Can we crossover in the run off? I want Cagle's character to be damaged with the "Trump-ey voters" but I want him to be the nominee.

That’s what I would probably do tbh.

[QAnonKelly]

As said above, someone would be really smart to jump into the AG race this year bc it’s wide ope and use that as a springboard for the 2022 senate seat. It’ll likely be an open seat too (if Isakson can make it that far given how sick he is). If this is really the year GA starts to be competive, the AG position should be the easiest pick up. Especially because we’re two months out from the deadline and no one has filed yet

[QAnonKelly]

Unsurprisingly, the teachers’ union backed Evans today

https://politics.myajc.com/blog/politics-blog/georgia-2018-teachers-group-backs-evans-race-for-governor/Wzdkpj5KzjEppNW1ImiqOM/

[QAnonKelly]

I don’t see how Kemp gets passed wiping an election server and the state not defending him in court.

[QAnonKelly]

Yeah, the GOP primary is definitely going to be Atlanta vs the more rural parts of the state. Especially with the Amazon project looming. I just don’t know if there’s enough GOP votes in Gwinnett and Cobb anymore to drive Cagle’s margins up enough to take the hit in the rural parts of the state.

[QAnonKelly]

A lot of Cagle’s success will hinge on the fabled suburbanites that don’t like Trump. I could see Evans siphoning off some of the votes he desperately needs in Gwinnett and Cobb. Cobb voting D last year for President may have just been a fluke(or an accelerants event)  but I don’t see a Rep outright winning Gwinnett anymore for the foreseeable future

[QAnonKelly]

Good ad, especially for his audience. IRL though the 21st Century Georgia isn't who he's targeting. I get the point but I just thought that was funny

[QAnonKelly]

That’s not actually that surprising. I imagine some of these suburban educated white people don't call themselves Republicans anymore. I’d be interested to see how the Independents break down now too . They’ve always been R leaning as a whole but I’d think the percentage has gone up

[QAnonKelly]

I’m glad someone jumped into the AG race. That should be the easiest pick up opportunity. It’s also good he’s already raised so much money and seems to have the backing of people in the state.

[QAnonKelly]

Glad to see them really putting resources into the down ballot races. Hopefully we can pick off at least a few of the statewide races. SoS and AG are probably the easiest to win and the most influential.

[QAnonKelly]

That was a huge misstep for Cagle. Probably a game changer. This means both the frontrunners in Cagle and Kemp are severely damaged goods. Maybe just maybe this is the year someone breaks through

[QAnonKelly]

I didn't think anything would happen till 2020 (I've always thought Barrow could win tho) but this honestly makes it so much easier for it to happen tho.

[QAnonKelly]

That was a huge misstep for Cagle. Probably a game changer. This means both the frontrunners in Cagle and Kemp are severely damaged goods. Maybe just maybe this is the year someone breaks through

That's all that I'm taking away from what has transpired recently.  I've been watching local Atlanta media outlets most of today and reaction to Cagle's comments have not been good.

I think this says a lot about the state of the GOP primary.  You don't go out and make statements like this when you feel you're ahead, especially when those statements seem to run counter to your primary strategy of running as the sensible, ITP Republican.  I say Cagle is feeling the heat from Kemp and Tippins.

I think Tippins has the most to gain from this. My dad made his mind up on him a couple of weeks ago and my mom was gonna vote for Cagle. She has since changed her mind to Tippins bc of this. Tippins is pro-medical marijuana (both of them support full legalization though) and anti religious liberty bill , I could see him picking off Cagle's suburban Rs after this blunder. At this point, no one is getting to 50+1 to avoid a runoff , it's just a matter of whether or not Cagle and Kemp are undamaged enough to get into the runoff.

[QAnonKelly]

Honestly one of the staceys should drop out to avoid wasting more dem money in a runoff let the repubs waste money battling each other this was a huge part of Jones victory the dems should try and do this

I don't see the D race going to a runoff since it's only the two of them. Abrams is already running low on cash as is. Idk if she could even survive a runoff. She has about $1m less in cash than anyone else.

[QAnonKelly]

Senate passed the bill taking away Delta’s tax credit. No way Deal signs it. Say what you want about him but he’s never moved an inch when it comes to this stuff. Saw on Greg Bluestein’s twitter that Evans officially filed a complaint with the AG about Cagle. Wonder if anyone else on either side chimes in about it

[QAnonKelly]

Imo if Abrams gets the nom it’s pretty dependent on the Republican side because she’s got significantly less cash in the bank than anyone else in the race. As of the quarter ending Jan 31, she has $461k in the bank which is about a million dollars short of anyone else. She’s either going to have to put up a monster quarter or get some outside help (which considering the amount of potential governor pick ups is unlikely). Cagle made a potentially fatal misstep this week and he has the most money. We’ll just have to see how this affects him come May. If it’s say Kemp that wins she won’t have as much ground to make up. She needs to avoid a runoff at all costs too.

[QAnonKelly]

Just protested at Kemp’s last event on his bus tour. Felt great!

They made us move outside the gates in the park where it was held before we even got to start chanting.

Is he gonna wipe all video of this ever happening? 😜

[QAnonKelly]

Running on culture wars in a state that’s almost majority minority and where you’re losing more educated white people each cycle is sooooooo smart.

/s

[QAnonKelly]

I'm pretty optimistic about it. I think Gov is probably out of reach still but it's closer than it was a week ago. Barrow has a decent shot at it and probably AG too.