America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,757
Political Matrix E: -8.88, S: -8.51
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« on: February 16, 2024, 06:09:21 PM » |
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I am treating each of these as their own scenario
2008: NJ and KY NJ because its the only race that year Dems won by less than 15% where Dems would probably have gotten the seat back in 2014, and KY because getting rid of McConnell weakens R obstruction, and there were no races Reps won by less than 15% where Dems could probably hold on in 2014 2010: WA and WI WA because Dems definitely get it back in 2016, and WI because it probably allows Dems to hold on in 2016 and 2022, and Feingold was also really good 2012: ND and AZ ND because Dems lost it in 2018 anyways, and Heitkamp was never all that good anyways, and AZ because it prevents Sinema who was a bad Dems from winning in 2018 2014: MN and NC MN because Franken was a sexual predator and in a seat Dems probably could have taken back in 2020, and NC because it probably saves Hagans life and Dems probably could have held on in 2020 2016: IL and WI IL because Dems would have gotten it back in 2022, and Kirk probably would have placed a meaningful level of votes against his party in the process too, and WI has the same logic as with 2010 2018: WV and FL WV because Manchin was a bad Dem in a seat Dems would lose in 2024 no matter what anyways, and FL because Rick Scott is that terrible 2020: VA and ME VA because Dems probably get that seat back in 2026 no matter what, and ME because it probably shores up Dems in being able to hold the seat no matter what in 2026 2022: CO and WI CO because Dems probably get that seat back in 2028 no matter what, against a Rep who was a bit less bad than most, and WI because it probably matters the most going into 2028
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