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  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Mayor Pete (search mode)
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Author Topic: Mayor Pete  (Read 62034 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: February 25, 2018, 11:10:07 AM »

Wouldn't encephalitis hinder Hagan's campaign?
Only Jeff can fix...

Whoops, wasn't aware of that fact, thanks. The new candidate for that seat is Anthony Foxx (D).
Look to Jeff's coming at first light of the 8th day... At dawn, look to the north (carolina)
What?
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2018, 06:43:30 PM »

Do Democrats control a majority of a majority of the states Congressional House Delegations.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2018, 01:49:03 PM »

Just noticed that you had Maryland listed twice on the 1st page of Gubernatorial races.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: August 30, 2018, 03:02:09 PM »

With Tony Evers being able to block Republican gerrymanders in Wisconsin (which would almost certainly results in WI-01 being more much more Democratic, since it would gain the Democratic city of Whitewater, lose its portion of Republican Waukesha County, and gain the remainder of Democratic Rock County), and the way you have Democrats winning big in 2022 in this timeline, how does Paul Ryan still survive?
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: August 31, 2018, 04:39:08 PM »

As you are covering the 2024 presidential election in this timeline, which happens after the next reapportionment, I figured I would post the projected reapportionment changes in this thread so that you know what you are working with in this timeline:

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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2018, 06:28:40 PM »

As you are covering the 2024 presidential election in this timeline, which happens after the next reapportionment, I figured I would post the projected reapportionment changes in this thread so that you know what you are working with in this timeline:



I thought MT would gain 1?

It will not. MT-02 is currently on track to be seat 436, which means that the state is barely missing out on gaining a seat, although if you look at the difference in the priority values of seat 435 and 436, the difference is actually substantial, so the confidence level is high.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #6 on: November 24, 2018, 12:20:05 PM »


no
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #7 on: November 24, 2018, 12:56:29 PM »

Please do not allow total failure Governor Hogan to win the Republican nomination.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #8 on: December 02, 2018, 11:26:59 AM »

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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #9 on: December 20, 2018, 09:41:56 PM »

Elizabeth was cautiously optimistic.

Cautious optimism.

That is what Chief of Staff John Kelly was feeling

I just noticed that you basically posted the same thing.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #10 on: December 21, 2018, 01:25:53 PM »

Uhh, you already had Bob Menendez not running for re-election in this timeline in 2018, and Frank Pallone getting elected Senator that year.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #11 on: December 21, 2018, 01:45:57 PM »

I really hope the fillibuster-proof Democratic Senate majority holds long enough for a Democratic president to take advantage of it.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #12 on: January 04, 2019, 01:51:55 PM »

Do full election night coverage in the way you did with Four More Years.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #13 on: January 12, 2019, 10:45:28 AM »

Well, this is 3/4 gains that Republicans can have while Democrats retain a filibuster proof Senate supermajority.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #14 on: January 13, 2019, 10:32:25 AM »

These downballot losses are depressing.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #15 on: January 14, 2019, 10:58:35 AM »

So many painful downballot losses.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #16 on: January 14, 2019, 12:47:27 PM »

How is the Senate 61 Democrats?

It looks like 60 to my count.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #17 on: January 14, 2019, 12:59:57 PM »

How is the Senate 61 Democrats?

It looks like 60 to my count.

61 including Sanders, I believe. Anyway, in the next few days I'll make a detailed results post so I'll correct any mistakes then.

As for the downballot losses- well, polarization caught on and some losses were expected, but Democrats actually lost most of these seats in 2018 irl, and now they also gained Texas.

What you had:

before 2018: 51-49 R (just like our timeline)

2018: D+2; 51-49 D
R gain: MO (1)
D gain: TN, AZ, NV (3)

2020: D+2; 53-47 D
R gain: AL (1)
D gain: NC, MT, CO (3)

2022: D+11; 64-36 D
D gain: PA, WI, OH, IA, MO, NC, KY, GA, FL, LA, AZ (11)

2024: R+4; 60-40 D
R gain: WV, IN, TN, FL, ND (5)
D gain: TX (1)
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,751


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #18 on: January 17, 2019, 11:42:47 PM »

Steve Scalise is Ohio, not Wisconsin.
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