2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 07, 2024, 06:48:22 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (search mode)
Thread note

Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original  (Read 210395 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: April 26, 2018, 07:31:38 PM »

Probably people who want Democrats to be able to block legislation but not judges.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 27, 2018, 02:19:08 PM »

Ann Wagner is probably going to win in 2018. I just do not see the wave getting big enough to defeat her. She might be more vulnerable in 2020, however.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: May 09, 2018, 05:46:07 PM »

In the Morning Consult poll, 36% of Americans opposed pulling out of the Iran Deal while 26% supported it.

As a general rule of thumb, if neither side obtains 40% in a poll, then there are too many undecideds for anyone to be able to draw any conclusions from it.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: May 12, 2018, 09:13:51 AM »

I remember taking an online poll about Trump approval on a conservative news site once. I did not realize it was a conservative news site until I completed the poll and saw a >80% approval.

I only saw it because it was placed as an advertisement on 270towin.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: May 21, 2018, 08:00:04 PM »

Annie Kuster wouldn’t lose even in a R+6 environment (which will obviously never happen).

Actually, 2014 was an R+6 environment (but Annie Kuster survived it).
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #5 on: May 22, 2018, 05:05:08 PM »

Annie Kuster wouldn’t lose even in a R+6 environment (which will obviously never happen).

Actually, 2014 was an R+6 environment (but Annie Kuster survived it).

Yeah, I meant this year. But yeah, “rising star” Marilinda Garcia was supposed to give Kuster a run for her money in 2014 and ended up losing by 10 points in a R+6 year, lol. Kuster is beyond safe, even in a GOP wave year.

She only won by 3 in 2016 (D+2 national environment) against some random dude

2016 was an R+1 national environment, not a D+2 national environment.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #6 on: June 02, 2018, 09:15:27 AM »

Will Hurd is in deep trouble.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #7 on: June 04, 2018, 11:48:53 AM »

My prediction: Democrats have a 90% chance at winning the House.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 11 queries.