Trump Likely to Win Re-Election, According to a Dem Strategist

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Trump is likely to win if Democrats can't get their act together and run on a message that voters in states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin can buy into. Right now, they seem to want to double down on their 2016 strategy, which is not going to help.

If they run on identity politics and believe that Georgia is more winnable than Wisconsin, they're going to lose.

If things continue in their current direction, Georgia very well might be more winnable for the Democrats than Wisconsin in 2020.

Georgia will never be winnable for the Democrats for at least a few decades, unless Democrats pull off a nationwide landslide of at least the caliber of those where Eisenhower won.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Hillary showed that the effect of money doesn't mean much in presidential races

Except if you're Russian. Then $100,000 in Facebook ads is the most devastating campaign strategy ever lol.

You're totally right on that. Honestly I hate how democrats are blaming the russians. Russia did hurt Hillary a slight bit probably (how the hell do you even quantify this), but the ad attacks wouldn't have been effective if Hillary was someone people could actually trust.

But the Russians also hacked voting machines and gave Trump extra votes, and if those votes were not there, Clinton would have won.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

There was a lot of evidence to suggest that Hillary Clinton would beat her polling numbers too.

A lot of people had privately communicated to the media in some cases that they planned to vote for Clinton, but were afraid that if they let their family know, they would be targeted by domestic violence.

When you consider this, it changes from possible to obvious that Russian hackers must have tampered with the vote totals.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Best case scenario for Rethuglicans in 2018 Senate is 59-41 (losing nothing, and gaining ND, IN, WV, OH, MT, FL, and MO)

Only 7 Democrat seats have a non-0 chance of flipping, and Rethuglicans need to pick up 8 to be filibuster proof.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

not the most convincing case, also stop arguing with ahugecat people it’s pointless!

Click here

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Best case scenario for Rethuglicans in 2018 Senate is 59-41 (losing nothing, and gaining ND, IN, WV, OH, MT, FL, and MO)

Only 7 Democrat seats have a non-0 chance of flipping, and Rethuglicans need to pick up 8 to be filibuster proof.

"Trump has only 1% chance to win the nomination" "Trump wont make it to Iowa" "Trump wont get 1,237 delegates" "Trump wont get 270 electoral votes" etc. etc. you get the point.

I remember thinking that Trump was going to win the nomination (and lose the general) basically as early as October 2015.