Northern Ireland Assembly Election, 2022 (user search)
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  Northern Ireland Assembly Election, 2022 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Northern Ireland Assembly Election, 2022  (Read 11823 times)
AustralianSwingVoter
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,091
Australia


« on: May 06, 2022, 10:37:23 AM »

We’re in for some really fascinating counts based on first prefs (and my Aussie STV skills find a use! finally!). Looks like SDLP will be the biggest loser and Alliance the biggest winner. Greens also apparently wiped out, and the TUV has performed well but not probably well enough for any seats.
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AustralianSwingVoter
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,091
Australia


« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2022, 10:56:26 AM »

TUV has performed well but not probably well enough for any seats.

Apart from Jim Allister returning for North Antrim, there has been talk that they'd gain a seat in Strangford (looking good) and possibly Newry and Armagh (much less likely). And I agree with your analysis that the Greens have a good shot of being wiped out.

Imo Strangford is a long shot because there’s nowhere to gain transfers from. I think they’ll be leapfrogged by the second Alliance candidate with relative ease off SDLP preferences.
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