latest Betfair odds (user search)
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  latest Betfair odds (search mode)
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Author Topic: latest Betfair odds  (Read 59946 times)
Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« on: January 16, 2019, 01:35:57 AM »

Why's Bernie so low there? He's at 13 on Predict It.

He's low on Betfair Exchange compared to the sites with prices set by bookies, but even there, he's not above an 11% chance on any of the bookie sites:

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2020/democrat-candidate

8 -> 1 / (1+8) = 11% chance, while 16 -> 1 / (1 + 16) = 6% chance.


I guess the bookies just don't like him then.
Or people realize he is very unlikely to be the nominee, if he even runs.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 16, 2019, 01:42:34 AM »

Why's Bernie so low there? He's at 13 on Predict It.

He's low on Betfair Exchange compared to the sites with prices set by bookies, but even there, he's not above an 11% chance on any of the bookie sites:

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2020/democrat-candidate

8 -> 1 / (1+8) = 11% chance, while 16 -> 1 / (1 + 16) = 6% chance.


I guess the bookies just don't like him then.
Or people realize he is very unlikely to be the nominee, if he even runs.

Predict It traders don't seem to have "realized" this. Funny that someone with the name Bloomberg in their name doesn't like the free market of Predict It.
For someone of his stature and name recognition, I would consider the 11% chance of being the nominee to be very low.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #2 on: June 28, 2019, 10:07:59 PM »

Why is Gabbard so high?
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