Biden VP news megathread (pg 286 - been selected, announcement could be today)

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

version of poll results above; looks like there's some text rendered on top which doesn't transfer with the graphic



Also worth noting that Whitmer is... not popular in Wisconsin. I've always thought the idea of elevating the (new) governor of a state that's faced the worst of the virus was a really risky decision and ultimately a bad idea. Could easily appear to the average voter (or the expert) like the state's poor response was her fault.

By the numbers: Black voters in Michigan and Wisconsin picked Abrams as their favorite hypothetical running mate for Biden, at 36% and 38%, respectively.

While Klobuchar is popular among voters overall in these states, she got just 12% support from black voters in Michigan and 20% from black voters in Wisconsin.

Harris underperformed with black voters in Michigan (22%) relative to her overall support in these two states, and she did 10 percentage points better with black voters in Wisconsin.

Warren earned the most consistent support among the group, in the low 30s among black voters in both states.

Abrams’ performance without being a sitting senator or having just run for president, shows potential to build a broad coalition and turn out voters.

I know "name recognition" and all but surely it's worth something that Warren isn't that far behind Abrams right?

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Whitmer is the governor of Michigan, so why would Wisconsin #s matter? She's very popular in Michigan.

Name recognition poll. No one knows who Duckworth, Demmings, CCM, or Whitmer (minus Michiganders) are.

I don't have data to back this up but I suspect people are much more likely to know who Whitmer is considering 1) how much attention Michigan/Detroit has gotten for being a rona hotspot and 2) the fact that she was called out multiple times (although not by name, lol) by Turmp.

That would be especially true if you're a Sconnie. They don't share a major media market but they share a border and are part of the same region. I don't expect Arizonans to know Whitmer that much better than the average governor but people in Wisconsin? Oh yeah.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

https://twitter.com/JaymalGreen/status/1251341086607507457

Grain of salt. Checkmark, but he's young and not too well known.

Wouldn't this give a Senate seat to the Republicans?

I don't remember the exact timeline but some time in early 2021 there would be a special election so the R's tenure would be short. But, you really don't want to sacrifice your first 100 days.

I hope all of these rumors are trial balloons. We're going to see some funky stuff happen to the political landscape, potentially moving voters in either direction. Biden's campaign would be foolish if they nailed themselves to one candidate now in such a high-change time period; wait until July when you have a better idea what the state of the country is.