This is a joke race. Democrats would have been wiswr to try and oust Duffy, Grothman or Gallagher, but were too entranced by the chance of killing the speaker (which would have admittedly been very funny).
I think there's a good chance they would have been able to knock off Paul Ryan through sheer voter enthusiasm, but with his retirement this became a more difficult race to win.
I take the opposite view... I think Ryan retiring and being replaced by some knockoff without the name recognition but with all of the weird cultivated similarities to Ryan makes it more likely that we see a Bryce win. Bryce isn't a great candidate but I'm more bullish on this race than the rest of this board is. Tilt R.