Comstock v Warner 2020 (user search)
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  Comstock v Warner 2020 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Comstock v Warner 2020  (Read 1343 times)
💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
peenie_weenie
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,537
United States


« on: July 22, 2018, 04:03:12 PM »

This is pretty much a moot point, as Comstock is virtually DOA. VA-10 is an automatic pickup for the dems.
My uncle is a conservative who lives in Comstock's district, and he can't stand her. She's alienated what little of the Republican base remains there, and she isn't going to get many dem crossover votes this time around. No one in her district really loves Comstock, and Wexton seems like a good candidate. She was already in grave danger before Confederate Corey came along; now, she just doesn't stand a chance.
Of the two VA senators, Warner is definitely the weaker incumbent, but I don't see any way he loses in a presidential election year. I don't think anyone can beat him.

Isn’t it kind of wild how quickly Warner became the weaker out of him and Kaine? For a long time he was Virginia’s political titan

I actually am not sure if Kaine would’ve survived the 2014 wave. There is a he argument that a Warner ran a somewhat lazy campaign that year that Kaine might not have done, but I don’t think Kaine would’ve enjoyed the ten or so extra points that Warner’s personal popularity gave him in coal country relative to Obama’s and McAuliffe’s performances

Meh. I think you're letting 2001/2008 cloud your judgements on 2014. Warner 2014 and Kaine 2012 look pretty similar in that area of the state. And, no, I don't think that has anything to do with Obama being on the ballot in 2012.
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