I'm having a tough time picturing what sort of Milwaukee suburban voter voted for Bush twice, voted for McCain and Romney, and voted for Walker three times amongst all that, but then considered Trump a bridge too far and is now voting against all Republicans because of that.
Is it really hard to see how McCain, Romney, etc. differ drastically from Trump?
I doubt they'll "vote against all Republicans" though. My guess is they still come in heavy for Walker.
I mean, don't the results in places like NOVA suggest there are indeed a bunch of such voters?
Yes, although WOW has a lot more of these consistent-R voters than NoVa, the latter of which had a lot of its moderate R support fall through in 2006-2008 (when Tom Davis and John Warner retired). Then again, the Republican last state-office holders in Northern Virginia (finally) got voted out this year. I think it's possible a lot of these voters defect for just this cycle in WOW but I still have a hard time seeing them leaving Walker. Then again, the main story in Virginia was Fairfax/PW/LoCo Republicans ditching their incumbent Republican delegates, so maybe this is possible. I'm still hoping that we can win the race by swinging Driftless area Dems rather than hoping for WOW defections.
