538 model & poll tracker thread (user search)

Roblox
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,245

Re: Fivethirtyeight forecast link (maybe)

« on: July 20, 2020, 09:52:50 PM »

Quote from: Epaminondas on July 19, 2020, 07:19:07 AM

Good find, I expect you're right.

Quote from: Alben Barkley on July 19, 2020, 01:35:53 AM

He did this already in the primaries. After Super Tuesday it took him FOREVER to release the updated model showing Biden with a 99% chance of winning. And I have no doubt it was because he feared the wrath of the bros even though he was right.

What malarkey, he updated within 2 days.
Grow up, outside of high school hanging on to grudges won't get you far.

Hell I'm pretty sure the model started showing Biden winning more delegates headed into super Tuesday lol.

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Roblox
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,245

Re: Fivethirtyeight forecast link (maybe)

« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2020, 08:06:37 AM »

Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 28, 2020, 08:03:57 AM

We'll see what the finished product looks like, but my first thought on reading those tweets was "they're trying too hard".

Yeah they seem way overly worried about the kinds of people who reply with "lol remember 2016" because they think 71%=100%.

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Roblox
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,245

Re: 538 model & poll tracker thread (model coming on Wednesday)

« Reply #2 on: August 13, 2020, 06:36:19 PM »

538’s presentation really has gone down the drain since 2016. No reason to not keep a nowcast and a map at least.

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