Election models megathread (user search)
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June 01, 2024, 05:40:07 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Election models megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Election models megathread  (Read 23499 times)
here2view
YaBB God
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Posts: 3,693
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.13, S: -1.74

P P P
« on: July 01, 2022, 11:58:34 AM »
Quote from: President Johnson on June 30, 2022, 01:22:47 PM
Is Connecticut's fifth district actually that much of a tossup? Would be bad to lose Hayes.

That's my district. It's relatively unchanged from the old map with rural areas in the northwest and more Democratic areas near Hartford and toward the Southern part of the district. Hayes won by 11 in 2018 and 2020 and is a good fit for the district. I would rate it Lean D.
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here2view
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,693
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.13, S: -1.74

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2022, 10:48:24 PM »
538 now has PA Senate as Lean D
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here2view
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,693
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.13, S: -1.74

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2022, 07:41:39 PM »
Find it hard to believe that CCM and Warnock both have the same odds right now (42%)
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