Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,220
Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54
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« on: October 31, 2020, 10:31:56 PM » |
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« edited: November 02, 2020, 11:16:31 AM by DTC »
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Biden will win. The DTC model officially has the 2020 race at:
Maine: Biden + 11
NE-02: Biden + 10
National: Biden + 9.2
Minnesota: Biden + 9
Nevada: Biden + 9
Wisconsin: Biden + 7.5
Michigan: Biden + 7
Arizona: Biden + 6
Pennsylvania: Biden + 6
Georgia: Biden + 2.5
North Carolina: Biden + 2.5
Florida: Biden + 2
Texas: Biden + 1
ME-02: Trump + 0.08
Ohio: Trump + 2
Iowa: Trump + 2.5
Alaska: Trump + 6
Kansas: Trump + 7
South Carolina: Trump + 8
Montana: Trump + 9
Missouri: Trump + 11
Biggest pro-Biden swing will be in Rhode Island: It'll go from Biden + 15.5 to Biden + 29
SENATE
Hickenlooper + 10
Kelly + 8
Peters + 4
Gideon + 4
Cunningham + 2.5
Ossoff + 2
Ernst + 1
Cornyn + 2
Sullivan + 4
Graham + 5
Daines + 5
Marshall + 5
Tuberville + 16
NET GAIN: +4 for dems; dems gain 5 seats, GOP gains 1 seat. GA-Special will go to a runoff.
EDIT:
Changed IA-Senate to Ernst + 1 on Nov 2 2020
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