McSally likely wins the general if she holds on and wins here.
She has become a Kelli Ward herself. She chose to go far right as opposed to moderate to win her primary which will hurt big time in the general. Her recent gaffes aside lets not forget to mention
her name rec is slim to none among general election voters in the Phoenix metro
she has half the amount of COH as her general election opponent, most of her current cash she will have to spend on the primary.
If Sinema beats Mcsally it’ll be because McSally made a terrible gaffe and The wave is even higher than predicted in November.
The wave could be small and Sinema wins. You do realize AZ only voted Trump by 3.5 (and actually voted quite a few dems in locally & in federal congressional elections), right? Dems also nearly won a senate seat here back in 2012. And Sinema is a very strong, moderate candidate anyways that will surely have a lot of appeal in Arizona. McSally isn't even a moderate and she is going far right to win the primary.
Honestly I think Sinema wins before democrats even take the house. Dems probably pick up Sinema before they pick 20 seats.
Like we're seeing AZ-08 being potentially within single digits in a high turnout special where 49% of voters are republican (although I still doubt dems do any better than +8 Lesko), yet people are still denying that Sinema is favored. SMH
