Texas Megathread Mk. II : Big Dem State Legislature gains

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

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Yeah, Abbot isn't in any danger of losing. at worst he's still going to win by 10%.

I'd love if the Dem nominee could replicate Hillary's 2016 numbers from the general in Texas. I'm rooting for the Dem to simply get above 40% lol

Above 40% is very easy to get -- even Wendy Davis of all people almost got 40%. Ted Cruz's opponent in 2012 that raised like $200,000 total got 42% of the vote.

But still, getting 42% of the vote is still... -12 to -16 depending on how much of the vote third parties get.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Beto will get 70% in travis obviously, probably 75% tbh. It is shifting super far to the left by every second. Dems got a combined primary vote of like 75% there despite sucking statewide.

I can see beto breaking 75% in travis even if he loses by 6 statewide. Beto is an amazing candidate for hipster Austin.

Beto even got 86% of the primary vote in Travis whereas Cruz somehow only got 79%

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Beto will get 70% in travis obviously, probably 75% tbh. It is shifting super far to the left by every second. Dems got a combined primary vote of like 75% there despite sucking statewide.

I can see beto breaking 75% in travis even if he loses by 6 statewide. Beto is an amazing candidate for hipster Austin.

Beto even got 86% of the primary vote in Travis whereas Cruz somehow only got 79%

Beto is an amazing fit for hipster Democrats in Austin, but they are not the entire city. I can see Beto, if everything goes right, getting high 60's or maybe even touching 70, but after that point it is a pretty steep hill to climb to adding to those percentage points.

Dude, Hillary got f'ing 67%. Beto got 76% in the D vs R primary vote (even as R's outvoted D's by 20% statewide). The young republicans in Austin prob won't turnout whereas the young democrats will, leading to a lopside margin there. It's also increased its population by 20% since 2010. I'm pretty sure Beto easily breaks 70 and gets 75%.

I really don't think you realize how far gone Austin is. they are 100% moonbats.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Beto will get 70% in travis obviously, probably 75% tbh. It is shifting super far to the left by every second. Dems got a combined primary vote of like 75% there despite sucking statewide.

I can see beto breaking 75% in travis even if he loses by 6 statewide. Beto is an amazing candidate for hipster Austin.

Beto even got 86% of the primary vote in Travis whereas Cruz somehow only got 79%

Beto is an amazing fit for hipster Democrats in Austin, but they are not the entire city. I can see Beto, if everything goes right, getting high 60's or maybe even touching 70, but after that point it is a pretty steep hill to climb to adding to those percentage points.

Dude, Hillary got f'ing 67%. Beto got 76% in the D vs R primary vote (even as R's outvoted D's by 20% statewide). The young republicans in Austin prob won't turnout whereas the young democrats will, leading to a lopside margin there. It's also increased its population by 20% since 2010. I'm pretty sure Beto easily breaks 70 and gets 75%.

I really don't think you realize how far gone Austin is. they are 100% moonbats.

Im in Austin quite a bit, and in the process of moving there, Id like to think I have a slightly better idea of the area. The primary numbers are a decent measure of enthusiasm but not gospel on how the general will turn out. Austin is very leftwing for TX  and moving further left by the day, but there are still a sizable portion of GOP voters. Its not San Francisco county yet.

And Hilldawg got 65.7

Oh my bad lol. If Hillary only got 65.7, then I guess 72/73% would make more sense then.