MT-SEN 2018: #Populism wins, #ShrillNeoliberalism loses

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Anyway, in case you missed it: There will be Green Party candidates on the ballot this fall (and likely in 2020, too).

Oh goody. I can't wait for the green party to take away votes from Tester.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Oh goody. I can't wait for the green party to take away votes from Tester.

Nah, the race would have to be very close for them to hurt Tester, which seems unlikely at this point. At best, it will cancel out the Libertarian spoiler effect, and even that’s debatable. I wouldn’t worry about this if I were you.

I'm not confident about Tester's chances (unless the MT poll was just released is accurate). Montana voted Trump by a pretty big amount and Tester is fairly liberal on a lot of issues, including immigration (which he recently moved to the left on). He's cast a lot of votes lately that could lead him open to attack (No on tax bill, vote to keep govt shutdown, vote for clean DACA).

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Obamacare is far more controversial than Jackson. Voters can barely name any cabinet members, let alone recollect a specific incident months before the election. If Tester can get away with voting for Obamacare (which was on literally 100% of voters minds in 2012 and most people in Montana disliked it), I don't see why a random cabinet members that barely any voters will remember will matter. Tester also had a very credible opponent in 2012 too.

Seriously LL, you are a political nerd who has not worked in your entire life. Most voters are not political nerds and don't follow everything 24/7. People tend to vote on bread and butter issues (e.g health care), not some random appointment. I know you're like a 16 year old kid or whatever and you aren't actually working or raising a family, which is why you are so out of touch with the average American voter.


Tester could very well lose because of his liberal voting record, but I don't think this VA thing will even lower his vote share by 0.5%. The media loves making up things that could be damaging because they need to produce articles to get ad revenue (aka $$, which you will learn when you enter the workforce). It's far more likely that immigration or some other issue is what brings Tester down.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Actually, Tester's campaigning is the only reason Dino Rossi is held down to less than 60% of the vote