October SUSA Governor Approval Ratings

[Mr. Paleoconservative]

It is good to see Ted Kulongoski  right where he belongs, right at  the bottom with other such notables as Taft and Murkowski.  Oregon will have a new Governor come January.  Or so says Oregon's best pollsters like Bob Moore.

[Mr. Paleoconservative]

I feel dumb for not knowing that Idaho has a new Governor.

It is good to see Ted Kulongoski  right where he belongs, right at  the bottom with other such notables as Taft and Murkowski.  Oregon will have a new Governor come January.  Or so says Oregon's best pollsters like Bob Moore.

Down 17 points versus 63 and 60 points...not so much.

Moore found a tie, by the way.  It was actually Riley Research that shows a lead...and Riley Research is total crap.

Moore's latest poll (the type you have to pay for) has Saxton up by 5% with a 4% margin of error.  Riley is traditionally a somewhat accurate polling outfit, but much like Zogby, got trashed in the 2004 cycle. 

Saxton will win, and unlike the Santorum folks who go against the numbers, Oregon's two best polling outfits (Moore and Riley) have Saxton taking the prize. 

[Mr. Paleoconservative]

Joe: Rutgers University

Saxton will win, and unlike the Santorum folks who go against the numbers, Oregon's two best polling outfits (Moore and Riley) have Saxton taking the prize. 

I'm sorry, but why are you saying Riley is a good pollster?  Look at his 2004 numbers.  They were probably the worst pollster in the country.

Did you read my post?  I said their 2004 cycle predictions were poorly done.  That said, their history still makes them #2 in Oregon after Bob Moore.

[Mr. Paleoconservative]

Can you cite your claim that Moore and Riley are historically so good?

Get some political experience in Oregon, anybody will tell you Moore is THE man, and Riley is still respected.  Research some blogs on Oregon politics, or call up some political science departments at the major Universities in the state.  I'm not going to go digging for links on a simple fact of Oregon politics.

Take it or leave it.  I could really care less. 

[Mr. Paleoconservative]

Reagan Raider:

Saxton will win

Are you confident enough of that that you would put money on it?

I'm not the betting type.  I really don't see the point to your comment beyond trying to seem "cool" on an online forum.  I also think comments like that are bad for any sort of intellectually honest discourse on an internet forum. 

If you're asking if I am certain beyond any doubt that Saxton will win, my answer would of course be a negative.  My strong belief in Saxton's victory is not based on untold future events which could change the course of the election cycle in Oregon, but rather the trends as I have seen them thus far bolstered by positive polling.

[Mr. Paleoconservative]

I'm not the betting type.  I really don't see the point to your comment beyond trying to seem "cool" on an online forum.

I'm not the betting type either, and I was not asking you for one.  It was a purely hypothetical question.  Your attitude was unnecessary.

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Then we'll just have to see about that in two weeks' time.  You may well be right in the end, but it's unlikely.

It seems we have something in common, as I think your attitude was unnecessary and that you are wrong on your Oregon prediction. 

Like you said, we'll find out in a little over two weeks.