Governor Sleepy Ted seems to have little hope for re-election this November.
Saxton has really done a bit over the last week to bring back in alienated Conservatives (Big C), who by either staying home or voting third party presented the greatest threat to his candidacy.
This is Saxton's race to lose at this point.
The polls so far don't seem to agree, which is odd. Maybe Saxton is just poorly known.
The polls do not feature Westlund, and also are from firms who really are untested as far as Oregon is concerned. Statewide (LOCAL) pollsters have posted more reliable numbers and have saxton ahead. Can't provide the data though (subscribers only), so take that as you will.