Mississippi. All they need is high black turnout, depressed white turnout, and get a few extra points with whites. It could happen in a bizarre yet feasible scenario.
Looking at the exit polls in Texas, Latinos and Blacks are actually less Democratic there than the national average. Factor that plus blacks being such a small part of the electorate, hideously low turnout among Latinos, and the unwavering support for the Republican party by whites. I don’t see it being competitive for 30 years at least.
i don't think it will be 30 years, but if republicans are smart, they can maybe extend their reign over texas until the early 30s or so