538 model & poll tracker thread (user search)
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  538 model & poll tracker thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 model & poll tracker thread  (Read 58523 times)
Flo 2.0
Soje
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« on: June 18, 2020, 01:53:47 AM »

I’ve been predicting the NPV would be Biden +9 for three months now!

So the tipping point is 2.3 points to the right of the nation, compared with 2.9 points I believe in 2016.

Interesting that they project Biden to win CA by less than Hillary won it

Polls showed Newsom winning by 10 points or less. Democrats are always badly underestimated there.


afaik there were very few polls that showed him leading by less than 10% --

yeah looking at RCP's average he was underestimated in the average by 6% and underestimated Clinton by 5% in 2016! so def a bit of room there! n_n
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