IA-CNN/DMR: Sanders 20%, Warren 17%, Buttigieg 16%, Biden 15%

[redjohn]

Yeah, this is it. They were almost spot on at this point in 2008 and 2016. Bernie's gonna win Iowa.

[redjohn]

Yeah, this is it. They were almost spot on at this point in 2008 and 2016. Bernie's gonna win Iowa.

There's a month left. With a month left, Howard Dean and Newt Gingrich were leading.

DMR's 2016 Democratic poll a month out: Clinton+2. Actual result: Clinton+1. DMR's 2008 Democratic poll shortly before the caucus: Obama+3. Actual result: Obama+8.

DMR's 2016 Republican poll a month out: Cruz+3. Actual result: Cruz+3. DMR's 2008 Republican poll a month out: Huckabee+5. Actual result: Huckabee+9.

Pretty spot on, I'd say.

[redjohn]

👀 MissScarlett very triggered by this poll.

I continue to think, as I have all along, that Bernie will win this state.  Caucuses are his strength, and Iowa is a very white, very progressive state.  He will probably win New Hampshire and Nevada as well.

I'm honestly surprised he only got 20%.  I figured he'd gain more if Warren and Buttigieg dropped.  I wonder where Buttigieg's supporters went because the totals of the top 4 only add up to like 70%.

January is a crazy month though so the end results will most likely be very different from this poll.

I'm really not lol. Its a bad poll for Buttigieg and a good poll for everyone else. Race has stayed the same.

How is this a good poll for anyone besides Sanders and Warren? Klobuchar has a zero percent chance of winning Iowa, Biden might come in fourth place, and Yang & Booker & Gabbard & Steyer have a zero percent chance of winning.