Predict when these counties flip R>D. (user search)
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  Predict when these counties flip R>D. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict when these counties flip R>D.  (Read 1035 times)
redjohn
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Posts: 2,698
United States


Political Matrix
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« on: September 25, 2019, 05:11:02 PM »

Ozaukee: Voted Republican by about 16 points when a Democrat won the state by 11 points. It's about 28 points to the right of Wisconsin's popular vote. It's not going Democratic on the Presidential level for a long time, if ever
Johnson: 2020
Tarrant: 2020 or 2024
Collin: Maybe in a couple cycles if things go very badly for Republicans... Hard to say, but not likely for a while
Hamilton: Not happening for a while... Will only happen if there's a huge Democratic swing in Indiana, which I don't see on the far horizons
Salt Lake: Like others have said, it's already gone D. Could very possibly happen again in 2020
St. Croix: Another example, like Ozaukee, of a county not even within five points with Dems winning by eleven statewide. Yes, it might slowly trend D, but it's not flipping for a while
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