It’s early and while kinglear and limo liberal are annoying they are right that we don’t know what will happen but if this is the norm for all of 2018 we (could) see a even environment or a +1-2 either side which would be great for the GOP.
I think there was a Florida special election where Democrats under-performed pretty bad. Maybe also one in Mississippi? This is why the results of all of them are averaged together. Not every single special election will swing towards Democrats.
And for the record, these kinds of results that run counter to national trends happen to every party even when the result ends up being a wave. So don't break out the champagne anytime soon, Greedo.
I agree and yes you did make YUGE gains in the VA HD and picked up Alabama but the latter was because Moore was a muh candidate with lots of scandals. Oklahoma seems to be electing dems because Mary Fallin is a awful Governor. So in my view the only yuge warning is VA-HD.