SC: Research 2000: McCain Leads SC by 15%

[Adlai Stevenson]

My prediction:

SOUTH CAROLINA PRESIDENT -
54% (R) McCain
43% (D) Obama
  2% Others

[Adlai Stevenson]

My prediction:

SOUTH CAROLINA PRESIDENT -
54% (R) McCain
43% (D) Obama
  2% Others

Your predictions are absurd. All of the undecideds go to Obama? In South Carolina? Get real.

You know that there are other polls besides the Research 2000 that poll SC right?

Really? Are you going to try to argue with me that Obama will actually only lose by 6 like Rasmussen says? Please don't try to argue with me about South Carolina politics. McCain isn't getting below 55% in South Carolina, and Obama's ceiling is 43% here.

I am not saying any of that but it sounded like you were basing everything on SC politics on this one poll and you are pretty much calling him an idiot for saying Obama will win with 43% which is very reasonable for SC especially if Obama wins by 3 or 4 points.

It isn't the 43% that was absurd. It was McCain only getting 54% of the vote and Other getting 2% and 1% missing entirely. Obama will get 43% if he wins by a comfortable margin.

You're an idiot if you think I mean 54.00% and 43.00%, I mean that roughly - it will be something like:

SOUTH CAROLINA PRESIDENT -
54.29% (R) McCain
43.74% (D) Obama
  1.97% Others

Happy?  I wouldn't bet on it...