Finally, Rasmussen publishes a meaningful poll on this race. I think Udall will probably end up winning between 50%-52% of the vote to Schaffer's 47%-48%.
Uh, Rasmussen has posted "meaningful" polls on this race before, like last month. Unless your "meaningful poll" means "poll with Udall ahead".
I see a probably MOE movement here (no big news here that I've read), but who knows.
I didn't believe the polls showing Udall ahead. As I have mentioned before, I think Rasmussen has a slight GOP polling bias (so we can hope that Udall is further ahead of Schaffer). But a poll showing him 3% ahead to me is thus more meaningful than ones that have shown him about a point behind Schaffer.