TX-Sen: Could this man beat John Cornyn? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 12, 2024, 05:56:21 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  TX-Sen: Could this man beat John Cornyn? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: TX-Sen: Could this man beat John Cornyn?  (Read 3703 times)
Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,403
United Kingdom


WWW
« on: March 01, 2007, 12:00:51 PM »

Hobby sounds possibly like a potentially good candidate.  I think John Sharp could be the best person to nominate, having lost two very close races for Lieutenant Governor in 1998 and 2002.  But Bill White, Henry Cuellar and even possibly Ron Kirk are possibilities.  I think both Chris Bell and Barbara Ann Radnofsky are running also.  Cornyn could be held to single-digits with the right candidate.  There is also the possibilty Bush appoints him to the Supreme Court in the mean time. 
Logged
Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,403
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2007, 10:36:34 AM »

Republicans did just fine statewide in 2002 and 2006.

Netting only 39% is just fine?Huh Granted it was a 4-way race but one of the candidates was Kinky Fricking Friedman!  Perry should have been able to at least net 45% if he was really doing fine.  If you compare 2002 to 2006, Perry essentially lost 20% of the vote to the independent candidates while the Democrats lost 10%.

Granted, Perry wasn't the most popular guy on the planet, but yes, netting 39.0% is just fine...at least compared to the 29.8% that Chris Bell got!

In Texas, no matter how poorly Republicans do, or no matter how unpopular they are, you can always count on the Democrats being one rung lower on the ladder.

If John Sharp had run, he conceivably could have won.
Logged
Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,403
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2007, 02:02:07 PM »

Republicans did just fine statewide in 2002 and 2006.

Netting only 39% is just fine?Huh Granted it was a 4-way race but one of the candidates was Kinky Fricking Friedman!  Perry should have been able to at least net 45% if he was really doing fine.  If you compare 2002 to 2006, Perry essentially lost 20% of the vote to the independent candidates while the Democrats lost 10%.

Granted, Perry wasn't the most popular guy on the planet, but yes, netting 39.0% is just fine...at least compared to the 29.8% that Chris Bell got!

In Texas, no matter how poorly Republicans do, or no matter how unpopular they are, you can always count on the Democrats being one rung lower on the ladder.

If John Sharp had run, he conceivably could have won.

John Sharp was never going to run because he was the chief architect behind Perry's property tax proposal that passed.  Quite frankly, that was one of the top 2-3 issues in the whole campaign and the main reason why Strayhorn entered the race in the first place.

As far as I can tell by the numbers, Republicans in Texas were hit by the national wave in the country at about the same numbers as the national figures.  However, it appears to me that it was especially strong in the Hispanic areas and the moderate Republican suburbs; much less so in the ultra-Republican suburbs.

Note though, that the lower statewide offices were still dominated by Republicans, similar to the numbers attained in 1998-2006.  The national wave or Perry's popularity or lack thereof, really didn't seem to affect these races at all.

Do you think there is any chance Sharp will run for the Senate in 2008?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 10 queries.