Senate Races Poll of Polls

[Adlai Stevenson]

I have decided to construct a poll of polls for each Senate race, i.e. adding the percentage of support each candidate has had in various polls and dividing it by the number of polls.  The answer should supposedly show the real state of the races.  I have given candidates an approximate percentage based on rounding up the results.

MISSOURI
McCaskill 43.5%
Talent 42.8%

VIRGINIA
Allen 51.0%
Webb 35.7%

ARIZONA
Kyl 50.0%
Pederson 33.3%

MINNESOTA
Klobuchar 46.8%
Kennedy 42.8%

CALIFORNIA
Feinstein 57.0%
Mountjoy 29.3%

NEW JERSEY
Menendez 38.4%
Kean 36.9%

NEW YORK
Clinton 60.0%
Republicans 29.4%

NEBRASKA
Nelson 54.0%
Ricketts 35.5%

FLORIDA
Nelson 56.0%
Harris 29.0%

WASHINGTON
Cantwell 47.8%
McGavick 38.4%

MONTANA
Tester 46.2%
Burns 44.0%

WISCONSIN
Kohl 62.0%
Lorge 25.5%

VERMONT
Sanders 66.0%
Tarrant 26.0%

MAINE
Snowe 69.4%
Hay-Bright 25.0%

PENNSYLVANIA
Casey 50.4%
Santorum 38.0%

MICHIGAN
Stabenow 50.8%
Republicans 36.0%

OHIO
DeWine 45.0%
Brown 42.0%

WEST VIRGINIA
Byrd 58.0%
Raese 32.0%

RHODE ISLAND
Chafee 42.0%
Brown 37.0%

NEW MEXICO
Bingaman 56.0%
McCullough 31.0%


I now seem to have covered most races which have had more than one poll and where the candidates are decided.

[Adlai Stevenson]

I went as far back as the data went.  I checked so that the polls included the candidates running and they all did so I used every poll conducted poll listed.  I am planning to update this thread in October/November to see the way the Poll of Polls has trended.  Obviously, this is already out of date.

[Adlai Stevenson]

Yes admittedly its not a foolproof method.  I said that at the start, of course it also is open to the flaws you mentioned.  I guess more than anything else I was just interested to see what the 'Poll of Polls' showed the state of the races to be.  But I agree and admit to everything you said.