NBC Marist Polls (MI, MN, WI): Whitmer +9, Waltz +9/Swanson +11, Evers +13

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

1. This set of polls (including the senatorial results) are pretty devastating for the GOP (and NBC/Marist is a top tier pollster).

2. It’s still fascinating how Thanedar, who is by the far the worst debater of the three and has no government experience, is beating El-Sayed (and almost in striking distance of Whitmer, although I think most other recent polls show Whitmer with a more commanding lead). He would be by far the worst candidate in the general, and almost certainly the worst governor of the three Democratic candidates; Michigan Democrats, please don’t mess this up!

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

They think Walker is unbeatable; eventhough Cook PVI has WI as +2 Democrat

Cook PVI has WI as "EVEN"

I dont see how they got that number. If PVI is calculated via 2012 and 2016 presidential numbers, as they state, the PVI should be D+3.5, since Trump won by 1(rounding), and Obama won by 8(rounding).

But Obama won the PV by 4% and Clinton won the PV by 2% (rounding), so that’s an average of 3% and 3.5%-3% is pretty close to even (PVI is relative to the national popular vote). Not sure that the algorithm is that straightforward, though.